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Why Your Borrowing Power Is Lower Than You Think

The 3% serviceability buffer explained - and what it costs you in real dollars.

Calculator and financial documents on desk
14 April 2026 By Michael Mankin 9 min read

The most common source of confusion in any home loan conversation is the gap between what borrowers expect to borrow and what lenders will actually approve. That gap is not arbitrary. It is largely a product of a single regulatory requirement: the serviceability buffer. Understanding it does not change the number, but it changes how you plan around it - and reveals the levers that actually move the dial.

What the Serviceability Buffer Is

APRA - the Australian Prudential Regulation Authority - requires all authorised deposit-taking institutions to assess home loan applications at the borrower's interest rate plus a minimum buffer of 3 percentage points. The policy was introduced in its current form in October 2021, when APRA raised the buffer from 2.5% to 3% in response to rapidly rising property prices and low rates.

The buffer's purpose is dual. For the financial system, it limits the stock of loans that would become stressed if interest rates rise significantly. For the individual borrower, it provides a built-in margin so that a rate increase does not immediately push them into repayment difficulty. Whether the buffer is calibrated at the right level is a separate policy debate - the mechanics apply regardless.

The Current Practical Impact

In mid-2026, standard variable rates from major lenders are sitting in the 5.5% to 5.8% range following the RBA's rate cut cycle. Add 3 percentage points and borrowers are assessed at 8.5% to 8.8%. That assessment rate is what determines the maximum loan size - not the rate you will actually pay.

Example: A single borrower earning $120,000 per annum with no dependants, no credit card, no HECS, and no other debt. At a 5.7% actual rate, maximum borrowing is approximately $720,000. At the 8.7% assessment rate, the same income and liabilities produce a maximum of approximately $580,000. The 3% buffer has reduced borrowing power by $140,000 - before any other factors.

That $140,000 difference is significant in the Macarthur market. At median prices in Gregory Hills and Leppington of $820,000 to $860,000 (Domain, Q1 2026), a borrowing capacity of $720,000 with a $120,000 deposit gets you to $840,000. A borrowing capacity of $580,000 with the same deposit falls $140,000 short of the same purchase.

How Lenders Count Your Income

The assessment rate reduces the numerator of the serviceability calculation. The denominator - your assessed income - also determines the outcome. Lenders do not simply use your gross salary:

How Lenders Count Your Debts

The liability side of the serviceability equation carries several counterintuitive features:

Living Expenses: The HEM Floor

Since the ASIC v Westpac proceedings in 2019 - in which the Federal Court initially found that relying solely on the Household Expenditure Measure (HEM) benchmark could breach responsible lending obligations - lenders have tightened how they verify declared living expenses. The current standard is that declared expenses must be benchmarked against HEM, with the higher figure used. For a single person in an outer Sydney suburb, HEM sits at approximately $1,650–$1,800 per month in 2026 depending on income band. For a couple with two children, the figure is closer to $3,200–$3,600 per month.

Understating living expenses on an application creates both a legal problem and a practical one: lenders are cross-checking bank statements against declared expenses with greater rigour than they did five years ago.

Legitimate Ways to Improve Your Borrowing Power

Given the structure above, the levers that genuinely move borrowing capacity are:

Interest-only note: Some lenders assess interest-only loans at the principal-and-interest repayment calculated over the remaining loan term after the IO period ends. This can reduce borrowing power compared to a standard P&I application. If you are considering IO, check the assessment methodology with your broker before choosing that structure.

What This Means for South-West Sydney Buyers

At $820,000 to $860,000 for a house in Gregory Hills or Leppington, the serviceability buffer is not an abstract regulatory concept - it is the practical constraint that determines whether a purchase is achievable for a dual-income household earning $180,000 combined. The buffer means that household is assessed at roughly 8.7%, which reduces maximum borrowing from approximately $1.08 million (at the actual rate) to approximately $850,000. Overlay a $100,000 deposit and the purchase ceiling is $950,000 - workable, but with less margin than the unadjusted calculation would suggest. For single-income households, the maths is tighter still.

Frequently Asked Questions

Will the serviceability buffer be reduced in 2026?

APRA reviews the serviceability buffer periodically and has publicly stated it will consider reducing it when the rate environment warrants. As of mid-2026, the buffer remains at 3%. Some industry bodies have lobbied for a reduction to 2.5% or 2%, arguing the buffer was calibrated for a higher rate cycle and now over-constrains credit. Any reduction would need APRA's formal approval and would apply across all authorised deposit-taking institutions simultaneously.

My credit card limit is $20,000 but I pay it off monthly - does it still count?

Yes, in most cases. The majority of lenders assess your credit card limit as a liability - not the balance you currently carry - because they are assessing your capacity to draw down the full limit at any point. A $20,000 credit card limit is typically treated as approximately $760 per month in committed expenses (using a 3.8% annual assessment rate). Reducing your credit card limit before applying for a home loan is one of the most straightforward ways to improve your borrowing power.

I'm self-employed and my last tax return shows lower income due to business investment - how do lenders assess this?

Most lenders require two years of personal tax returns and Notice of Assessments, then average the two years of taxable income. Some lenders will use the most recent year only if it is higher and the increase is explainable. A year with significant business investment expenses reducing taxable income can work against you - addbacks (depreciation, one-off expenses, interest on business loans) may be included by some lenders, but policies vary significantly. This is an area where the right lender choice can make a substantial difference to the assessed income figure.

Find Out Your Real Borrowing Power

A serviceability calculator gives you a rough guide. A broker with access to 30+ lender policies can tell you which lender assesses your specific income and debt profile most favourably - and by how much. Book a call with our Oran Park team to get the full picture before you start searching.

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